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Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during afternoon trading on March 27, 2024.
Michael M. Santiago | Getty Images
Stocks turned lower on Thursday with investors on edge this week ahead of the March jobs report due out on Friday. A spike in oil prices and fears the Federal Reserve could hold off further cutting interest rates added to the day’s poor sentiment.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 422 points, or 1.1%, resuming its slide this week after gaining 294 points earlier Thursday. The S&P 500 lost 0.8%, giving up a 0.9% gain. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.8%, meanwhile. Key stocks like Nvidia and Alphabet also gave up their gains on the day.
Crude oil jumped midday, which coincided with the rollover in stocks Thursday. WTI oil topped $86 a barrel to its highest level since October, raising concerns about energy prices helping to reaccelerate inflation.
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari also commented Thursday afternoon that he wondered if the central bank should cut rates at all if inflation remained sticky, adding to a recent chorus of Fed speakers talking conservatively about policy. The 10-year Treasury yield rose off the lows of the session on the Kashkari’s comments and was last hovering around 4.33%. The benchmark Treasury yield had briefly touched 4.429% on Wednesday, a new high for the year.
“Investors right now are sort of taking a wait and see attitude,” said Sam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist. “The 10-year yield is the key driving force because of the concern of the Fed implying that they’re in no hurry to cut rates, and therefore confirming the adage that the Fed will be slower to lower interest rates.”
The market remains expensive, given that the S&P 500 is trading at a 33% premium to its long-term average, Stovall added.
“I find that to be a bit disconcerting,” he said. “I think it’s just a matter of time, before we end up digesting some of these gains.”
Dow, 1-day
So far this week, the S&P 500 is down 1.3%, with three out of four days in the red. The 30-stock Dow has lost roughly 2% week-to-date, while the Nasdaq has dipped 0.4% during the week.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday maintained that while there is still room for interest rate cuts this year, policymakers will need more proof that inflation is moving toward the central bank’s 2% guideline before rates can come down.
The key March nonfarm payrolls report is due on Friday. The consensus expectation calls for a 200,000 rise in payrolls with an unemployment rate of 3.8%. In February, U.S. job growth totaled 275,000 while the unemployment rate rose to 3.9%. A too hot jobs report could further boost yields and keep pressure on the Fed to maintain higher rates.
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